11EducationBelow the top 20
Deskilling of the teaching profession
CapabilityDomain knowledgeImpact domainCap-adjacent
Statement (NASA form)
Given that lesson-planning and marking are the first tasks districts automate, there is a possibility of new teachers never learning the judgment those tasks used to teach resulting in a school system that cannot function when the vendor is down — or wrong.
Likelihood
3Probable
Consequence
3Major
Urgency
2Planned
The worksheet was practice for the teacher, too.
Composite 11 = 3×3 + 2
Applicable mitigations
Controls · Apprenticeship quotas in firms that deploy the models · Automatic stabilisers for exposed graduating cohorts · University curricula rebuilt around the remaining scarce work · Pace rules: no irreversible action faster than a human can reconstruct it · A real off-ramp that still functions · Contract-first delegation with privilege attenuation · Duty of care on high-stakes delegates