Proposed
Automatic stabilisers for exposed graduating cohorts
Income support and paid reskilling that trigger on placement-rate collapse, not after a recession is declared.
No compiled flow or public database names this control yet.
Who should own it
National governments
Governments
How quickly it can land
Months
A planned program, one to two quarters.
Expedited implementation
3 months
90 calendar days with a crash team
Normal implementation
9 months
270 calendar days as a planned program
Risk this mitigates
19Given that measured hiring into the most exposed white-collar roles has already fallen, and a frontier-lab CEO has put a five-year, 50% figure on entry-level disruption, there is a possibility of the first rungs of professional work disappearing faster than institutions can retrain or replace them resulting in a cohort of graduates locked out, and a long-run collapse in how professions reproduce skill.
Residual composite 19 · still above the threshold
Effect if implemented
Applied to every failure scenario on that risk, then re-ranked. Axes are clamped at 1.
- Likelihood
- −0
- Consequence
- −1
- Urgency
- −1