13EducationBelow the top 20
Collapse of academic assessment
CapabilityDomain knowledgeImpact domainCap-adjacent
Statement (NASA form)
Given that coursework and take-home exams are already model-completable, there is a possibility of credentials that no longer track what a graduate can do resulting in employers and graduate schools flying blind, then closing doors.
Likelihood
5Extremely likely
Consequence
2Minor
Urgency
3Priority
If everyone can produce the essay, the essay is no longer a signal.
Composite 13 = 5×2 + 3