AI Risk Atlas Prototype/Demo — Unofficial independent experiment. Not an official xAI product. Scores can be wrong.
Signal register
Public posts, experimentally classified on three axes: public impact, the systems that fail, and the industries in the blast radius. Estimates only — not a formal assessment.
Scores are automated, experimental estimates from public X posts and a hand-written seed corpus. They are not formal risk assessments, not certified, and not suitable for compliance or operational decisions.
Consequence, likelihood, and urgency are 1–5 judgements applied by this project, not by a standards body. Residual scores assume only the mitigations marked in place. A signed-in reviewer can override residual and mark an item reviewed — that override is still unofficial. Aspect tags (capability, domain knowledge, affordance, impact domain) are a lightweight PRA aid, not a formal hazard analysis.
Responsible Scaling Policy Version 3.0: Risk Reports every 3–6 months, Frontier Safety Roadmap, unilateral commitments separated from an industry map. ASL-3 activated May 2025. Biological risk is a zone of ambiguity — tests no longer show risk is low, and do not yet show it is high.
Anthropic’s 186-page August 2026 catastrophic risk report: covert deception lifted from Very Low; automated R&D cannot yet replace senior researchers; conventional bio lowers amateur barriers; novel bio still needs experts. Monitoring cannot catch all scheming.