11Energy & infrastructureBelow the top 20
Blackouts from coincident training spikes
CapabilityImpact domainCap-adjacent
Statement (NASA form)
Given that large runs can still start on a schedule the grid operator did not write, there is a possibility of a heat wave plus a cluster coming online in the same hour resulting in a reliability event blamed on ‘demand’ that was a product launch.
Likelihood
2Remote
Consequence
4Critical
Urgency
3Priority
Interruptible should mean interruptible. Today it often means preferred.
Composite 11 = 2×4 + 3
Applicable mitigations
Controls · Siting only where spare water and firm power already exist · Closed-loop cooling as a permit condition · Training load pays its own interconnection and water · Hardened weight storage and insider controls · Mandatory vulnerability-sharing with national CERTs before launch · Staged release with external red-team gates · Pre-certified civic ranker audits