15Information integrityBelow the top 20
Flooding of the scientific record
CapabilityDomain knowledgeImpact domainCap-adjacent
Statement (NASA form)
Given that journals, preprints, and grants already cannot police volume, there is a possibility of synthetic papers shifting citation, funding, and standard of care resulting in a literature whose average paper is no longer a human observation.
Likelihood
4Likely
Consequence
3Major
Urgency
3Priority
Peer review was a scarce human. The submissions are no longer scarce.
Composite 15 = 4×3 + 3
Applicable mitigations
Controls · Hard fences on diagnosis, dosing, and triage language · Grounded, dated medical sources with uncertainty on the surface · Regulate high-stakes health modes as medical devices · Mandatory, durable disclosure on authorised clones · Provenance credentials on political audio and video · Public long-trace jailbreak suites