12Markets & moneyBelow the top 20
Market-manipulation bots with a public face
CapabilityDomain knowledgeAffordanceImpact domainCap-adjacent
Statement (NASA form)
Given that models already write the posts, the filings, and the order flow, there is a possibility of a coordinated synthetic narrative plus a trade resulting in retail and even institutional books taken by a story that never had a speaker.
Likelihood
3Probable
Consequence
3Major
Urgency
3Priority
Pump-and-dump used to need a room. It now needs a context window.
Composite 12 = 3×3 + 3
Applicable mitigations
Controls · Synthetic-media quiet period before ballots · Provenance credentials on political audio and video · Mandatory, durable disclosure on authorised clones · Windfall and compute taxes earmarked for the displaced · Short-lived, narrowly scoped tokens for every tool call · Duty of care on high-stakes delegates