16Identity & fraudBelow the top 20
Deepfakes becoming most of recorded AI fraud
AffordanceImpact domainCap-adjacent
Statement (NASA form)
Given that synthetic media already outnumbers AV, face-ID, and moderation incidents combined, there is a possibility of fraud desks still staffed for last decade’s attack mix resulting in losses and civic injury that the control book still treats as a side channel.
Likelihood
4Likely
Consequence
3Major
Urgency
4Expedite
Public tallies now put deepfakes as the majority of recorded AI-fraud cases. The residual moved; many mitigations did not.
Composite 16 = 4×3 + 4