AI Risk Atlas Prototype/DemoUnofficial independent experiment. Not an official xAI product. Scores can be wrong.

Back to mitigations
ProposedOn the path to acceptable

Treaty limit on fully autonomous targeting

Some functions stay human. Write it down between states, not in a vendor slide.

No compiled flow or public database names this control yet.

Who should own it
States and alliances
Alliances / evaluators
How quickly it can land
Quarters
Cross-org work; expect most of a year.
Expedited implementation
9 months
270 calendar days with a crash team
Normal implementation
2.5 years
900 calendar days as a planned program

Risk this mitigates

15
Battlefield AI inventing targets

Given that military systems are being fielded that can propose or prosecute targets, and warnings already exist that they invent intent, there is a possibility of a false positive becoming a kinetic event resulting in civilian casualties, unlawful strikes, and rapid escalation between states.

Residual composite 15 · still above the threshold

Effect if implemented

Applied to every failure scenario on that risk, then re-ranked. Axes are clamped at 1.

Likelihood
1
Consequence
1
Urgency
1