In progress
External pre-deployment evaluation as a license condition
If the internal team is gone, the evaluation still happens — elsewhere.
$2.1B experimental capital · 3 sources
Who should own it
AISI-class evaluators
Alliances / evaluators
How quickly it can land
Months
A planned program, one to two quarters.
Expedited implementation
2 months
60 calendar days with a crash team
Normal implementation
6 months
180 calendar days as a planned program
Risk this mitigates
20Given that at least one leading lab has dissolved its preparedness function and redistributed biosecurity and cyber risk work, there is a possibility of capability continuing to rise while the last independent brake inside the lab is removed resulting in high-stakes releases shipping without a team empowered to delay them.
Residual composite 20 · still above the threshold
Effect if implemented
Applied to every failure scenario on that risk, then re-ranked. Axes are clamped at 1.
- Likelihood
- −1
- Consequence
- −0
- Urgency
- −0