Proposed
Pacing agreement / temporary capability freeze among US labs
Coxon argued Hugging Face made pacing more viable, and that entering the ‘endgame’ should not be launched from a private Slack. A written, third-party-visible pause on capability jumps when SI-alignment is unsolved.
Who should own it
US labs and AISI-class bodies
Alliances / evaluators
How quickly it can land
Weeks
A dedicated squad can land it inside two months.
Expedited implementation
6 weeks
45 calendar days with a crash team
Normal implementation
6 months
180 calendar days as a planned program
Risk this mitigates
20Given that at least one leading lab has dissolved its preparedness function and redistributed biosecurity and cyber risk work, there is a possibility of capability continuing to rise while the last independent brake inside the lab is removed resulting in high-stakes releases shipping without a team empowered to delay them.
Residual composite 20 · still above the threshold
Effect if implemented
Applied to every failure scenario on that risk, then re-ranked. Axes are clamped at 1.
- Likelihood
- −1
- Consequence
- −1
- Urgency
- −1