In progressOn the path to acceptable
Mandatory, model-aware synthesis screening
Providers screen against both known pathogens and model-generated obfuscations. No screen, no ship.
$12M experimental capital · 2 sources
Who should own it
Synthesis industry and states
Regulators
How quickly it can land
Months
A planned program, one to two quarters.
Expedited implementation
2 months
60 calendar days with a crash team
Normal implementation
6 months
180 calendar days as a planned program
Risk this mitigates
19Given that peer-reviewed work claims models can author viral genomes, not merely analyse them, while some frontier labs have dissolved dedicated preparedness staff, there is a possibility of a capable actor using a general model to design, order, or troubleshoot a biological threat resulting in a high-consequence biological event whose know-how no longer required a national laboratory.
Residual composite 19 · still above the threshold
Effect if implemented
Applied to every failure scenario on that risk, then re-ranked. Axes are clamped at 1.
- Likelihood
- −1
- Consequence
- −1
- Urgency
- −0